TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs46c25,101$11,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,502.5318651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs37c13,475$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks64c10,746$6,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.956,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Knicks54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+94.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Knicks55c6,340$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.5138143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs49c4,610$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.261,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93aa…4ab1backed Knicks65c4,326$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks51c4,039$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.0755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Knicks54c3,463$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.8837755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Spurs36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks62c2,357$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.8766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks64c2,300$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8318355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Spurs54c2,034$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.664330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs34c1,574$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.881,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks63c1,462$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.171,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs39c1,223$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0da…f3f0backed Spurs37c1,194$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.781353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks63c1,056$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.321,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks55c1,032$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.7964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs32c1,000$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9810049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs57c999.98$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.9962948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…1e15backed Spurs36c993.49$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.65933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Knicks57c878.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.251963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks54c812.94$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.951,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs38c787.37$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.381,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks54c773.18$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Spurs40c725.24$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.775332.1%17 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs46c711.43$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.491,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs35c679.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.412146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks62c664$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.812,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks68c639.63$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs7c626.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.873,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Knicks47c614.87$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.887153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Knicks61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Knicks64c577.62$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5636051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs39c549.24$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.131,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs14c534$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs27c481.7$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8253842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Spurs36c449.17$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.74746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs37c404.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.918235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Knicks54c382$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.219663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed Spurs37c360.51$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks69c350.83$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.661,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs64c317.95$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0552461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Spurs35c314.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe174…084ebacked Spurs38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Knicks51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1477652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Knicks63c293.96$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Spurs55c281.58$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5636751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Spurs40c250.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks64c225.26$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.091,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Knicks67c225.25$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3318557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks63c222.34$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.381,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks70c221.22$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Knicks47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7717848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks64c205$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Spurs35c202.01$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7140%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks63c200.07$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0318653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Spurs52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs32c185.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks64c181.02$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.219959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Spurs35c168.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1360%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Spurs35c160.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0915246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks65c153.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.91,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Knicks66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5218853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Knicks46c141.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.155349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Spurs36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick36cpaid-85.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks65c110$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.761,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec0…9bdfbacked Spurs39c109.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed Spurs62c108.02$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.692951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Spurs36c105.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.926346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Spurs35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Knicks45c97.15$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1115044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Knicks47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.749949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Spurs49c91.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks65c78.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks64c76.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Knicks66c76.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9225150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs34c72.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6340548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4473…31b7backed Knicks69c72.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Spurs36c72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.928353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks66c72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4818445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Knicks63c69.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8821953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Knicks54c69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7410941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks60c67.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks61c65.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.671,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Knicks59c63.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.112055.8%67 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.225954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Spurs36c51.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Knicks66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Knicks46c47.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8345542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks45c47.49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks65c47.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5915648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c78…e701backed Spurs39c42.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.382955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Spurs35c41.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Knicks48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6715248%73 W · 79 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d4…b79fbacked Spurs36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.