NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcce56a1a61902dd7ce5de34dc77ea70dd2a7aa809b308b5f81e9a8285d29eba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs | 47c | 12,029$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700.22 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 53c | 6,138$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.7 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 69c | 5,236$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.29 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Spurs | 31c | 4,444$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.64 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 56c | 2,548$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…4d42backed Knicks | 69c | 2,067$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 48c | 2,000$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.3 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 53c | 1,893$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.28 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Spurs | 55c | 1,311$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.56 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks | 53c | 1,061$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.01 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 52c | 1,002$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.56 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Spurs | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3eb7backed Knicks | 79c | 862.1$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 52c | 819.51$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.28 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs | 26c | 540$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…b79bbacked Spurs | 57c | 522.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Knicks | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spurs | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Knicks | 69c | 438.83$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 29c | 433.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Knicks | 71c | 430$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Knicks | 48c | 288.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…5456backed Knicks | 51c | 276.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Spurs | 15c | 258.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Knicks | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 69c | 207.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Spurs | 30c | 205.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…b8e4backed Knicks | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Knicks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spurs | 46c | 170.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spurs | 25c | 169.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Knicks | 71c | 159.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks | 54c | 154.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 53c | 151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Knicks | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 48c | 128.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 29c | 121.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Knicks | 54c | 117$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Knicks | 54c | 109.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Spurs | 22c | 104.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Knicks | 49c | 101.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Spurs | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 41c | 89.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Knicks | 41c | 83.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Knicks | 69c | 71.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…43ccbacked Knicks | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Knicks | 70c | 60.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks | 73c | 54.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Spurs | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…ba7ebacked Spurs | 30c | 48.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Knicks | 71c | 42.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Knicks | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks | 76c | 38.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Spurs | 31c | 37.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Knicks | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4913backed Spurs | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Spurs | 34c | 30.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Spurs | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2b39backed Knicks | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Knicks | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Knicks | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Knicks | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 38 | 94.7%36 W · 2 L | +14.0wins | +0.37per pick | 58cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Knicks | 65c | 19.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Knicks | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.