WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906b2e3325e7b9ba5af51546e053b2fe9fdce483319f47fd729a1db81cddc084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 14,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 8,839$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.39 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 6,677$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.93 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 4,072$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.53 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 3,863$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.45 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 3,738$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.55 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 2,580$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.93 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,598$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,543$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 36c | 1,120$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.39 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 948.26$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.43 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 721.75$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.2 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 661.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.4 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream | 48c | 544.63$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.21 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 532.08$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 350.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 301.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 211.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 200.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 156.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Washington Mystics | 38c | 153.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Atlanta Dream | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 129.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 121.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 103.51$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 67.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 62.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 56.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 46c | 56.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 46.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 42.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e453backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 38.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 35.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 33.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…6d7abacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)this page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.