WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d69658086e6310d0540a28e4b1fda97d4a3ef42e96fe6db64fb99b65b2d06da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 54,993$27,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,304.04 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 17,510$8,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,754.3 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 14,307$7,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,012.27 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 8,806$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 50c | 5,958$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 52c | 3,206$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 50c | 2,223$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 1,396$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.92 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,311$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.75 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 1,199$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.53 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 703.45$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.45 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 50c | 572$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 50c | 501.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.19 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…d56abacked Over | 54c | 435.88$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Under | 50c | 430.68$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 339.47$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 50c | 310.42$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 301.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 54c | 293.28$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 50c | 259.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 238.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 50c | 221.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Over | 75c | 205$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 50c | 144.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 50c | 142.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 123.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 53.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 50c | 46.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 57c | 35.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 32.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…fe32backed Under | 51c | 20.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5this page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.