WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cfcea0f52d4830822e63260cd0be746f87074786b2918a866602c1657ee960f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 53c | 7,484$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 4,657$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.77 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Under | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,235$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.06 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 1,699$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.43 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 52c | 1,646$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.7 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 51c | 1,408$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Over | 47c | 848.45$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 690.16$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.88 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 655.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.11 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 57c | 346.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 284.46$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 239.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 214.21$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 75c | 190.23$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 35c | 183.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 56c | 179.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Under | 40c | 168.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 45c | 153.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 40c | 138.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 130.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 38c | 96.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 93.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 81.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 52c | 81.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Over | 51c | 68.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Under | 52c | 59.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Under | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 50c | 46.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 52c | 33.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9972…6d7abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 51c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 48c | 27.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Over | 71c | 16.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5this page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.