WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x852a931270a39fe23795d045abd617718afeba557f4f15557e87b40b4a6f327f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 30c | 2,536$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.91 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 49c | 2,481$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.71 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 1,584$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.54 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 853.63$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.88 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 53c | 719.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.68 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 496.21$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 391.61$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 354.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 272$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Under | 47c | 219.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 51c | 200.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 46c | 139.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 40c | 130.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 46c | 108.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 55c | 108$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 46c | 90.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Over | 58c | 56.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 61c | 39.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 39.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Under | 51c | 39.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 57c | 26.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 55c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 58c | 18.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 160.5this page
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 158.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 159.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.