Fifa International · resolved market
Spain leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaeccdea4d6b3c104d78730c48844df2c77528efcde5182a5bda6a5126be1576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 49,836$29,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,579.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 58c | 38,006$22,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,142.01 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 26,006$11,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,554.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 44c | 23,104$10,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,022.76 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 16,099$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,739.76 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 44c | 15,450$6,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,718.78 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 14,321$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,692.82 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 41c | 14,287$5,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,429.33 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 44c | 11,794$5,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,560.58 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 50c | 10,123$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.36 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 43c | 9,878$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.33 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 56c | 6,128$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.63 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 45c | 4,856$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.58 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.45 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 4,492$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.24 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 30c | 3,554$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.58 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 3,539$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.1 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 27c | 3,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.99 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 6c | 3,260$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 56c | 2,569$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…0522backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 2,189$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes | 43c | 2,027$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.46 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.04 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 57c | 1,842$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.94 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 65c | 1,792$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.8 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 79c | 1,721$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.9 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 42c | 1,672$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.57 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 58c | 1,514$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.75 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 52c | 1,399$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.05 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 73c | 1,389$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.73 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 44c | 1,372$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.32 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 57c | 1,257$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.74 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 45c | 1,089$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.89 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 57c | 993.8$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.4 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 57c | 924.16$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.77 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 35c | 793.98$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.19 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 39c | 771.56$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.01 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked No | 57c | 754.39$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 58c | 699.84$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.43 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 57c | 687$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.59 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 57c | 646.33$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.04 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 42c | 644.97$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.08 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 58c | 599.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 45c | 599.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 41c | 598.5$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.11 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 43c | 552.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.85 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 44c | 447$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.4 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 446$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 445.05$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.23 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 7c | 433.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e64ebacked Yes | 43c | 406.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.96 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 7c | 393.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 43c | 392.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.69 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 43c | 386.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 368$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.22 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 42c | 352.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.38 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 22c | 352.1$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 48c | 352$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 16c | 342.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 331$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 57c | 320$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 57c | 312$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 42c | 305.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked No | 7c | 304.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…6c6abacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…fc58backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 4c | 297.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 43c | 288.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 46c | 272$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…ffc9backed Yes | 43c | 256.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e64abacked Yes | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.81 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…ca6abacked Yes | 44c | 254.25$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 8c | 248$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain leading at halftime?this page
- Uruguay leading at halftime?No won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.