Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fc37e23626e0e339399b6ac0c26d1e7cb73179d5885520c01cbd870d2f4f2bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 10,191$5,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 49c | 8,816$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.74 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 6,051$3,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 4,216$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.97 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 57c | 3,995$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.05 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 3,833$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.32 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 3,193$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.62 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,450$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,356$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,662$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 63c | 1,578$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 80c | 1,045$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed No | 39c | 999.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.98 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…425cbacked Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…ec16backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Yes | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 55c | 501$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 41c | 467.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.95 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 454.35$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 56c | 445$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 58c | 406.71$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.61 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 4c | 399.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 5c | 390$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 44c | 379.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 32c | 308.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 26c | 300.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dad…475dbacked No | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 56c | 238.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 43c | 233$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 13c | 216.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…944cbacked No | 57c | 206$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 201.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 56c | 190.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…4399backed Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 56c | 179.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…0ce6backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 29c | 161.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 62c | 161.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 69c | 152.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 35c | 118.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…015abacked Yes | 44c | 114.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 52c | 105.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 61c | 95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 55c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 32c | 70.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 55c | 69.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…7499backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cb…bb7abacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…78d8backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa067…4b35backed Yes | 62c | 57.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…d98bbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…3874backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 27.3%33 W · 88 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…861bbacked No | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…22b9backed No | 57c | 42.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 166 | 63.9%106 W · 60 L | +20.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 55c | 42.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…bb13backed No | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…f39fbacked Yes | 41c | 40.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…2e02backed Yes | 77c | 39.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Yes | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 57c | 32.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…d92ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 57c | 28.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Yes | 40c | 28.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 76c | 26.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 52c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 57c | 22.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…0ddebacked No | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?this page
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes won
- Uruguay leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.