Fifa International · resolved market
Uruguay leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3bef487c8e14dbf59f1b98d639f778123d814d2eaea11ba6e84f86ac195778e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 10c | 21,040$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.21 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 8,459$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 13c | 7,200$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 3,008$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.93 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 15c | 2,870$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.56 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 2,061$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.16 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,218$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 14c | 984.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 14c | 802$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 14c | 802$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 9c | 767.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 14c | 750.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 13c | 706.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 15c | 553.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 464.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 384$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 13c | 344.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 14c | 312.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 14c | 296.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…fc58backed Yes | 15c | 295$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 14c | 240$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 15c | 195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…f09fbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 178.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 11c | 152$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…5b89backed Yes | 16c | 149.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 13c | 145.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…c216backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…1b0fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 15c | 126.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…b88fbacked Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Yes | 13c | 109.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 10c | 101.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…16a2backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…2274backed Yes | 16c | 91.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uruguay leading at halftime?this page
- Spain leading at halftime?Yes won
- Uruguay vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.