Tennis · resolved market
ITF Frankfurt: Arian Barbic vs Pierre Delage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71ec75936ceccf036e31d84be87108e114eed79ec6b093c1143e4a8f62ac394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arian Barbicof Arian Barbic, Pierre Delage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Arian Barbic | 6c | 2,069$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.62 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…c793backed Arian Barbic | 7c | 260$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…a8aabacked Arian Barbic | 7c | 185$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pierre Delage | 64c | 136.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Pierre Delage | 56c | 116$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Arian Barbic | 26c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pierre Delage | 47c | 84.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Arian Barbic | 28c | 77.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Arian Barbic | 44c | 73.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Pierre Delage | 70c | 67.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Pierre Delage | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Arian Barbic | 75c | 55.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Pierre Delage | 33c | 44.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Pierre Delage | 33c | 44.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pierre Delage | 65c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Pierre Delage | 77c | 28.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pierre Delage | 67c | 28.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Arian Barbic | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.