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Tennis · resolved market

Todi: Marco Cecchinato vs Juan Bautista Torres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marco Cecchinatoof Marco Cecchinato, Juan Bautista Torres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae5c…5df7backed Juan Bautista Torres48c10,998$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,275.427948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Marco Cecchinato57c5,384$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.932,34752.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L+86.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Bautista Torres29c5,014$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.7211,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Marco Cecchinato52c4,035$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.346,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Juan Bautista Torres19c4,020$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.494,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Bautista Torres22c2,711$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.948,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Marco Cecchinato59c2,346$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.274,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Bautista Torres27c1,676$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.218,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Marco Cecchinato61c959$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.875,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Juan Bautista Torres47c955.88$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.263,74942.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L-44.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Juan Bautista Torres21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014518.6%27 W · 118 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Juan Bautista Torres10c795.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5876455%420 W · 344 L+48.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Juan Bautista Torres33c749.95$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4830739.7%122 W · 185 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Juan Bautista Torres20c628.62$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.732,85947.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L+37.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Marco Cecchinato77c573.76$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.944,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Juan Bautista Torres13c518.24$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.289,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Juan Bautista Torres13c396.85$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9515115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Juan Bautista Torres26c322.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.451,49643.6%652 W · 844 L-29.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Juan Bautista Torres29c310.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Juan Bautista Torres22c204.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,27940.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Marco Cecchinato71c183.38$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5327744.4%123 W · 154 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Juan Bautista Torres24c176.24$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.636,64946.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L-38.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Juan Bautista Torres29c175.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.871,11152.8%587 W · 524 L+2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Juan Bautista Torres23c170$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.11,07357.6%618 W · 455 L+4.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Marco Cecchinato69c167.94$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.061,77149.2%872 W · 899 L+58.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Marco Cecchinato66c167$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7898255.4%544 W · 438 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e6…4be3backed Marco Cecchinato58c161.53$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.819347.2%91 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc029…68a1backed Juan Bautista Torres12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Juan Bautista Torres30c156.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0441536.9%153 W · 262 L-0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Juan Bautista Torres33c154.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3759440.7%242 W · 352 L-24.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Juan Bautista Torres20c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.52,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Juan Bautista Torres27c145$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8660341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Juan Bautista Torres29c143.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.951,31639%513 W · 803 L-23.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Juan Bautista Torres23c140.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.721,56424%376 W · 1,188 L-43.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Marco Cecchinato72c139.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.651,89459.3%1,124 W · 770 L+6.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Marco Cecchinato57c136.87$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.451,07954.9%592 W · 487 L+14.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Marco Cecchinato77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.651,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Marco Cecchinato80c129.87$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0472147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Marco Cecchinato70c129.8$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.353,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Marco Cecchinato74c126.68$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.32,10444.5%937 W · 1,167 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Marco Cecchinato76c119.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.791,78946.3%828 W · 961 L-6.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Juan Bautista Torres21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2576212.1%92 W · 670 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Bautista Torres26c118.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.413,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Marco Cecchinato70c118.3$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.081,09152.5%573 W · 518 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Juan Bautista Torres22c116.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.73,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0f…7fc7backed Juan Bautista Torres32c104.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.441735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Juan Bautista Torres31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312,05347.8%982 W · 1,071 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Juan Bautista Torres19c99.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21,92244%846 W · 1,076 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Juan Bautista Torres22c98.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4464426.2%169 W · 475 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Juan Bautista Torres30c92.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6795745.6%436 W · 521 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Marco Cecchinato71c89.28$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1854047%254 W · 286 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Juan Bautista Torres23c88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.245,55348.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Juan Bautista Torres26c85.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0848947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Juan Bautista Torres27c81.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.142,22336.9%821 W · 1,402 L+40.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Juan Bautista Torres18c80$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1495047.7%453 W · 497 L+34.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Juan Bautista Torres34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.24,04145.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L-28.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Marco Cecchinato78c74.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.448461.9%52 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Juan Bautista Torres27c73.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,19557.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L+178.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Juan Bautista Torres34c70.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.874047.8%354 W · 386 L-3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe780…055bbacked Juan Bautista Torres30c66.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204825%12 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Juan Bautista Torres27c58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651,99152.9%1,053 W · 938 L+31.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Juan Bautista Torres24c56.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3591341.4%378 W · 535 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Juan Bautista Torres28c50.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.166358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Marco Cecchinato65c47.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.756,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Marco Cecchinato77c43.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0421351.6%110 W · 103 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5a9…0c9abacked Marco Cecchinato69c43.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2212764.6%82 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bdc…e345backed Juan Bautista Torres35c41.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4917343.9%76 W · 97 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Marco Cecchinato54c36.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8548351.3%248 W · 235 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Bautista Torres28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082,55436.3%928 W · 1,626 L-23.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Marco Cecchinato52c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6920758.5%121 W · 86 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Marco Cecchinato73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.419251.6%99 W · 93 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Marco Cecchinato71c26.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6130055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Marco Cecchinato70c25.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7116655.4%92 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Marco Cecchinato70c25.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.611,09073.7%803 W · 287 L+40.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Marco Cecchinato76c24.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9138365.5%251 W · 132 L-0.8wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Marco Cecchinato56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.433655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Marco Cecchinato71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831664.9%205 W · 111 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Marco Cecchinato72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.628442.3%120 W · 164 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19aa…a972backed Marco Cecchinato71c19.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.52560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Marco Cecchinato69c17.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4629945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.