Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfea725dd2dd04e233a86e337486294c0dfb34d176974d665e14769b0b5e5bb20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 3,341$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.28 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 2,779$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 2,007$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.76 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 34c | 793.97$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.32 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 39c | 769.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.39 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 641.76$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 44c | 513.64$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 63c | 397$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes | 32c | 315$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 216.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 201.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 18c | 200.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 133.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 57c | 110.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 72.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 38c | 65.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 43c | 63.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…9ce7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Yes | 30c | 44.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…fc0bbacked No | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…dfaabacked Yes | 39c | 40.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 29c | 39.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 34.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 56c | 26.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 39c | 26.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 62c | 23.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Viborg FF end in a draw?No won
- Will Viborg FF win on 2026-04-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.