South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ff79885cd92de5666edb5b3b5ac66209b95593ccb7aea130438591c44504fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 11,798$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 50c | 10,723$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,361.37 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 1,984$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.38 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 784.49$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.89 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 63c | 782.24$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.81 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 62c | 691.89$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.97 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 302.31$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.12 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 290.7$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 127.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Under | 41c | 115.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 93.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 62c | 81.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 62c | 51.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…d28abacked Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 51c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 22.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)Club Libertad won
- Spread: Club Libertad (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.