South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Libertad (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988ce7dbd6488c21cc5a75daaee5b9a223486f55c64c7c1d951e4d528c83e016
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Rosario Centralof Club Libertad, CA Rosario Central
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Club Libertad | 9c | 1,168$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…a0fdbacked Club Libertad | 9c | 1,056$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b37…08a1backed Club Libertad | 9c | 1,043$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…41bbbacked Club Libertad | 9c | 988$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab98…acbcbacked Club Libertad | 9c | 870$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…9983backed Club Libertad | 10c | 855$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865b…3b26backed Club Libertad | 9c | 850$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…752cbacked Club Libertad | 9c | 843.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…7266backed Club Libertad | 9c | 784$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…dfb0backed Club Libertad | 9c | 767$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…47d1backed Club Libertad | 9c | 738$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…7ee1backed Club Libertad | 9c | 720.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…1857backed Club Libertad | 9c | 719$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd9…b589backed Club Libertad | 9c | 695.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…338cbacked Club Libertad | 9c | 687.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…3be1backed Club Libertad | 9c | 649$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Club Libertad | 8c | 308.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Club Libertad | 7c | 242.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Libertad | 7c | 168.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Libertad (-1.5)this page
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)Club Libertad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.