South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31b0b03637ecb791fb1f2a165f0c8a4cfd9d84e791369d814e7a038bc5db057d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Libertadof CA Rosario Central, Club Libertad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CA Rosario Central | 24c | 99,697$23,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,966.57 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Club Libertad | 76c | 62,608$47,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,181.15 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Libertad | 76c | 13,208$10,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Club Libertad | 76c | 3,079$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.04 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Club Libertad | 76c | 3,079$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.04 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Club Libertad | 76c | 3,043$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.27 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Club Libertad | 76c | 1,576$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.58 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Club Libertad | 75c | 1,545$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Libertad | 77c | 1,539$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.11 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Club Libertad | 75c | 1,406$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.57 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Libertad | 78c | 1,156$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.76 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Club Libertad | 78c | 1,156$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.76 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Libertad | 78c | 1,156$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.76 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked CA Rosario Central | 25c | 669.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403e…0462backed CA Rosario Central | 17c | 637$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Libertad | 77c | 632.41$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Club Libertad | 79c | 624.92$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Club Libertad | 79c | 624.92$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Club Libertad | 76c | 557.31$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.08 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Club Libertad | 76c | 472.91$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Club Libertad | 75c | 409.17$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Club Libertad | 77c | 368.47$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.87 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Club Libertad | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Club Libertad | 77c | 189.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Libertad | 76c | 165.53$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked CA Rosario Central | 28c | 138.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CA Rosario Central | 23c | 119.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked Club Libertad | 77c | 116.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CA Rosario Central | 15c | 116.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Club Libertad | 67c | 104.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Club Libertad | 75c | 104.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Club Libertad | 77c | 100.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed CA Rosario Central | 19c | 96.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Club Libertad | 78c | 69.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked CA Rosario Central | 27c | 64.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Club Libertad | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Club Libertad | 77c | 62.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…b85fbacked CA Rosario Central | 22c | 55.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe8…9f16backed CA Rosario Central | 27c | 42.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Club Libertad | 79c | 37.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Club Libertad | 77c | 34.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Club Libertad | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Club Libertad | 80c | 32.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Club Libertad | 74c | 32.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Libertad | 76c | 31.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Club Libertad | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Club Libertad | 76c | 27.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Club Libertad | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Club Libertad | 75c | 18.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…e23ebacked Club Libertad | 79c | 18.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)this page
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Club Libertad (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.