South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5cfa793b1d6f2885d5fd47c797072426927782b43138ffdd32899580c98fd79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 35c | 4,956$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.78 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Under | 61c | 2,260$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,892$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.93 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 39c | 1,842$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.55 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 1,807$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 37c | 1,402$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 34c | 1,312$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.73 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 1,269$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.89 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 64c | 1,105$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.82 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…984cbacked Over | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 33c | 755.84$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.43 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 33c | 684.04$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.73 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 571.49$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.51 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 64c | 563$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.88 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 12c | 355.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 307.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 64c | 301.5$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 291.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 35c | 274.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Under | 69c | 242.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 64c | 208.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 207.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 65c | 195.8$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Under | 70c | 188.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 37c | 159.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Under | 77c | 137.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 36c | 109.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 107.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 64c | 107.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 64c | 82.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 80c | 62.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 33c | 51.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 33c | 51.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 69c | 51.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 33c | 51.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 33c | 50.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 39c | 43.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 42.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 39c | 30.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Over | 36c | 28.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 73c | 27.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Under | 66c | 21.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 80c | 17.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)Club Libertad won
- Spread: Club Libertad (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.