South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d463fe57ef5ff3dcb0c36feb780abb1fcd365da6cf64aa7da3826f9ee4fd187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 49c | 4,393$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 4,093$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.27 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,256$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 48c | 2,156$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.29 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 61c | 1,630$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,150$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 65c | 531.34$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…2d11backed Over | 56c | 499.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked Under | 39c | 483.66$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 56c | 451.79$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 65c | 306.02$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 35c | 282.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 147.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 67c | 73.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 33c | 71.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f5c5backed Under | 42c | 65.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 52c | 56.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e2a0backed Under | 54c | 46.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 54c | 40.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…26a9backed Over | 68c | 32.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 51c | 32.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 46c | 26.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Over | 75c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CDP Junior FC (-1.5)CS Cristal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.