South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03e3a53ccd35cb72bc076e6b447d87775732a83635c9d095fb34542da4b33d86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 60c | 1,840$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.98 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 36c | 1,025$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 882.9$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 579.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 62c | 370$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 60c | 325$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 60c | 325$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 61c | 95.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9fc3backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 60c | 47.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 60c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 60c | 32.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 69c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Cristal vs. CDP Junior FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CDP Junior FC (-1.5)CS Cristal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.