Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Guto Miguel vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4a93340e454ec5f713c2a7044254ce542db45284919bd770f0eeaf00f07ff70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guto Miguelof Guto Miguel, Juan Pablo Ficovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 15c | 17,496$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Guto Miguel | 78c | 4,872$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.39 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guto Miguel | 58c | 2,939$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 44c | 2,692$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.27 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 52c | 1,638$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.69 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Guto Miguel | 37c | 1,549$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.21 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 68c | 1,516$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.3 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 47c | 1,427$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.01 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Guto Miguel | 62c | 1,336$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.25 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…bc24backed Guto Miguel | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e87…86e8backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 62c | 1,197$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Guto Miguel | 36c | 655.52$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.62 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Guto Miguel | 53c | 606.2$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.91 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 67c | 592.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 47c | 576.43$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Guto Miguel | 31c | 545.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.33 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Guto Miguel | 34c | 474.28$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 33c | 438.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Guto Miguel | 34c | 428.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.49 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Guto Miguel | 35c | 352.78$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…9058backed Guto Miguel | 35c | 343.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Guto Miguel | 31c | 341.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.94 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 62c | 341.26$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 67c | 314$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Guto Miguel | 31c | 263.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Guto Miguel | 33c | 261.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 68c | 203$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Guto Miguel | 36c | 202$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Guto Miguel | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Guto Miguel | 33c | 177.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 36c | 167$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 64c | 156.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…25c6backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 64c | 156.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 65c | 148.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guto Miguel | 30c | 142.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 71c | 139.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Guto Miguel | 35c | 135.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 31c | 131.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 69c | 128.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…cd5ebacked Guto Miguel | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 64c | 127$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 68c | 123$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 71c | 122.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Guto Miguel | 38c | 113.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 34c | 89.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 13c | 87.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 69c | 86.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Guto Miguel | 30c | 81.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Guto Miguel | 52c | 79.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Guto Miguel | 54c | 78.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 69c | 75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 43c | 72.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Guto Miguel | 30c | 67.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Guto Miguel | 31c | 64.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 69c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Guto Miguel | 49c | 52.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 66c | 47.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Guto Miguel | 68c | 38.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Guto Miguel | 31c | 36.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Guto Miguel | 63c | 33.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Guto Miguel | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Juan Pablo Ficovich | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 68c | 27.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 65c | 24.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…9d94backed Guto Miguel | 53c | 21.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…8a7fbacked Guto Miguel | 68c | 20.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Juan Pablo Ficovich | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.