World Politics · resolved market
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4165dcf2fcca6a643e52823f7899dc57f74ed78bd5fa6b2c83d1784f5bd0c914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,139$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 33c | 645.31$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…1719backed No | 37c | 459.28$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…980cbacked Yes | 54c | 356.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7586…b2ccbacked No | 47c | 213.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679f…f9e0backed No | 66c | 201.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f1…0e51backed No | 66c | 200.79$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…4471backed No | 66c | 199.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…053cbacked No | 66c | 199.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…3ea0backed No | 66c | 199.72$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…febcbacked No | 66c | 199.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…72ccbacked No | 66c | 198.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…6f34backed No | 66c | 198.66$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…1819backed No | 66c | 198.49$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…36e0backed No | 66c | 198.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…0142backed No | 66c | 196.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aef…de78backed No | 66c | 196.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…d3a0backed No | 66c | 196.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…37d5backed No | 66c | 196.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e35…beabbacked No | 66c | 196.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ff…7898backed No | 66c | 196.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…669dbacked No | 66c | 196.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…49f2backed No | 66c | 196.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…b314backed No | 66c | 196.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…836fbacked No | 66c | 195.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…f86ebacked No | 66c | 195.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…eeeabacked No | 66c | 195.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…0907backed No | 66c | 195.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…f70ebacked No | 66c | 195.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe960…ea22backed No | 66c | 194.71$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…10c6backed No | 66c | 194.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…6ddbbacked No | 66c | 193.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…5195backed No | 66c | 193.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…ff81backed No | 66c | 192.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…6a96backed No | 66c | 191.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128b…7c4fbacked Yes | 52c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked No | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 46c | 59.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7eaabacked Yes | 59c | 54.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 51.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 66c | 47.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…cba6backed Yes | 56c | 45.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 34c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 76c | 37.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 41c | 37.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4068backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…1838backed No | 57c | 26.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…cf0bbacked No | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 62c | 16.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?this page
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.4%?No won
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.4%?No won
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?No won
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?No won
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.