Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Omaha Mavericks vs. North Dakota State Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf944f7b90d540d6f885013c3fb5d51246efe78a9cd5821c5d8f1c167beff8817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota State Bisonof Omaha Mavericks, North Dakota State Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6aa…7b2cbacked North Dakota State Bison | 79c | 3,300$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…435ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 21c | 3,295$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked Omaha Mavericks | 24c | 1,227$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…d67abacked Omaha Mavericks | 19c | 1,189$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Omaha Mavericks | 6c | 856.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Omaha Mavericks | 18c | 599.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Omaha Mavericks | 18c | 560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Dakota State Bison | 76c | 410.82$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Omaha Mavericks | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed North Dakota State Bison | 78c | 386.79$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Omaha Mavericks | 18c | 336.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Omaha Mavericks | 15c | 243.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Omaha Mavericks | 20c | 221$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Omaha Mavericks | 23c | 179.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Dakota State Bison | 77c | 167.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Omaha Mavericks | 19c | 159$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omaha Mavericks | 16c | 154.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc58…1e76backed Omaha Mavericks | 22c | 140.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Omaha Mavericks | 19c | 129.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Omaha Mavericks | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Omaha Mavericks | 18c | 111.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Omaha Mavericks | 18c | 111.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Omaha Mavericks | 20c | 110.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Omaha Mavericks | 17c | 104.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Omaha Mavericks | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Omaha Mavericks | 22c | 70.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed North Dakota State Bison | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Omaha Mavericks | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed North Dakota State Bison | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Dakota State Bison | 78c | 45.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 69c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Omaha Mavericks vs. North Dakota State Bisonthis page
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-9.5)Omaha Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.