Lol · resolved market
LoL: S2G Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d142d838589c5179a92a9e964bda63b81e4a77110de1b6c00b30ce4d735596
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed SU Esports | 38c | 7,002$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.72 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked S2G Esports | 61c | 1,306$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.4 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3c…0f07backed SU Esports | 37c | 1,135$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…a101backed SU Esports | 37c | 1,087$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…7ea7backed SU Esports | 37c | 782$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed S2G Esports | 64c | 700$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed S2G Esports | 63c | 676.77$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.77 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae96…e1a2backed SU Esports | 36c | 674$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…4c8cbacked S2G Esports | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed S2G Esports | 61c | 643.7$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.04 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…57c9backed SU Esports | 37c | 621$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…1bccbacked S2G Esports | 63c | 569$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…6e59backed S2G Esports | 63c | 566$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e7…6906backed S2G Esports | 63c | 560$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…b9febacked S2G Esports | 63c | 558$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…6f03backed S2G Esports | 63c | 527$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed S2G Esports | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed S2G Esports | 64c | 406.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked S2G Esports | 61c | 393.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked S2G Esports | 61c | 390.16$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…5763backed S2G Esports | 63c | 361$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…4b62backed S2G Esports | 64c | 346$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…9162backed S2G Esports | 64c | 328$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed SU Esports | 16c | 313.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed S2G Esports | 67c | 301.49$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed S2G Esports | 61c | 296.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed SU Esports | 33c | 281.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed SU Esports | 16c | 270$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed SU Esports | 16c | 261.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…a4cebacked S2G Esports | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…15d5backed S2G Esports | 66c | 246.63$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…c76abacked S2G Esports | 63c | 224$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed S2G Esports | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked SU Esports | 33c | 199.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked S2G Esports | 78c | 185$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed S2G Esports | 61c | 176.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed SU Esports | 19c | 169.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed S2G Esports | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…e36cbacked S2G Esports | 64c | 155.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed SU Esports | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked SU Esports | 13c | 149.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed S2G Esports | 77c | 129.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfb…27b3backed SU Esports | 18c | 121.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…1a3cbacked SU Esports | 38c | 112.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked S2G Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SU Esports | 16c | 84.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked S2G Esports | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed S2G Esports | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed SU Esports | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked S2G Esports | 65c | 50.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…c31ebacked S2G Esports | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SU Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed S2G Esports | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 744 | 49.7%370 W · 374 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed SU Esports | 36c | 41.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked S2G Esports | 55c | 41.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked S2G Esports | 62c | 40.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed S2G Esports | 62c | 39.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed SU Esports | 33c | 36.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked S2G Esports | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked S2G Esports | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf653…d1d6backed S2G Esports | 76c | 25.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: S2G Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Group Bthis page
- LoL: S2G Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.