Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a6ee20092da9eb417676b294c3412d2dc54d4f83e3ae2302b33e28788b7e4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 59c | 3,153$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.78 | 1,112 | 43.7%486 W · 626 L | +25.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 38c | 2,134$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.8 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 21c | 1,089$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.07 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.95 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 67c | 776.68$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.25 | 1,783 | 49%874 W · 909 L | +142.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 66c | 767.06$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.05 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0c…7fa3backed No | 46c | 566.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +18.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…ac59backed Yes | 35c | 534.82$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…7079backed Yes | 40c | 524.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 23c | 512.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 8c | 438.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 63c | 399.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…db7abacked Yes | 47c | 347.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 63c | 334.95$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 72c | 299.77$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…aa79backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74eb…c78abacked Yes | 36c | 277.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 24c | 255$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 43c | 240.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.03 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed Yes | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…90b6backed Yes | 60c | 167.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…baefbacked No | 53c | 154.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 45c | 139.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 50c | 138.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ab…ed57backed Yes | 17c | 134.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…c767backed Yes | 34c | 105.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…7676backed Yes | 51c | 98.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…c640backed Yes | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 53c | 98.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 41c | 90.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 32c | 60.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…8417backed Yes | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…7910backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad4…fa9ebacked Yes | 59c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…00e9backed Yes | 69c | 45.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed No | 31c | 40.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 49c | 31.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…2f10backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa5…85cabacked No | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 42c | 24.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 70c | 16.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…023dbacked No | 79c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of February?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of February?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of February?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of February?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of February?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of February?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of February?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $350 end of February?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 end of February?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of February?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 end of February?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 end of February?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.