Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb525d91bd1d901c176ee40830b22a23f591aa8d5d7b651addf77223b9113f310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01d3…a1f8backed Under | 59c | 63,498$37,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,117.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 40,862$16,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,753.4 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 12,427$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.41 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 5,102$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.63 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 3,363$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.9 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 34c | 1,651$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Under | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 41c | 1,100$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 43c | 1,039$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.77 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 19c | 524.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 482.58$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 68c | 382.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 38c | 360.41$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 13c | 269.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 37c | 267.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 11c | 262.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 69c | 183.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 25c | 159.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 75c | 159.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 43c | 139.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 18c | 138.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 41c | 112$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 41c | 109.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 43c | 103$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 35c | 102$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 69.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 77c | 48.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 55c | 46.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Over | 33c | 44.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 25c | 43.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 41c | 35.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 75c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…4758backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed Under | 62c | 21.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5this page
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.