Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x894cf48cc4512384d8528d32ee5671c61ec50c4f1b4e2756cb0742b45547ba6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 9,357$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.22 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 56c | 5,410$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,891$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.51 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,113$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.22 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 49c | 1,027$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.68 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 56c | 908.19$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 67c | 875.94$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 53c | 681.07$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 71c | 499.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 46c | 433.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 338.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.08 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 64c | 281.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 233.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 46c | 217.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 51c | 141.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 138.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 52c | 124.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3017…1ac7backed Over | 52c | 114.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Under | 29c | 111.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 100.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 48c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 51c | 89.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 30c | 79.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 61c | 79.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 65c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over | 66c | 56.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 55.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 51c | 45.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 46c | 43.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 38.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 33c | 36.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 66c | 33.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 47c | 33.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Under | 58c | 32.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 53c | 30.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 54c | 30.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe038…7e6abacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…7e8abacked Over | 46c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 71c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5this page
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.