TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,639 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27c3…301fbacked Yes8c2,505$200 inLost-$200.3280%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623e…2797backed Yes9c2,500$228 inLost-$227.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be5…dff9backed Yes8c2,381$200 inLost-$199.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes14c1,447$200 inLost-$2001811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes7c1,312$95 inLost-$95.15156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fdb…0b12backed Yes12c800$100 inLost-$99.57812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-81.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes3c749.14$20 inLost-$20355.7%2 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c553$50 inLost-$50.132953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes6c522.37$31 inLost-$30.961020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Yes8c480.47$41 inLost-$40.84110%0 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes7c433.97$29 inLost-$29.4670%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes19c400$75 inLost-$75.21723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c3…6fc7backed Yes13c370.37$50 inLost-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes9c300$28 inLost-$28392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce9…4e6abacked Yes7c295$20 inLost-$20.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4725…619bbacked Yes12c241$29 inLost-$29.45119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-88%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed Yes8c238.1$20 inLost-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes8c210.34$17 inLost-$16.65728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+127.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Yes7c148.59$11 inLost-$11.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bc…f6f1backed Yes12c138.63$16 inLost-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes9c134.4$13 inLost-$12.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Yes12c130.4$16 inLost-$15.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3d…7fffbacked Yes8c125.09$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes10c103.96$10 inLost-$10.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+79.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes55c32.94$18 inLost-$17.974955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.