TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,103 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x623e…2797backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27c3…301fbacked Yes1c4,055$57 inLost-$56.7780%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62d…315cbacked Yes3c925.85$27 inLost-$27120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes3c608.15$20 inLost-$203917.9%7 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes2c500$10 inLost-$101723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8d…da9dbacked Yes7c489.76$35 inLost-$34.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b55…c67fbacked Yes8c253.26$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c3…6fc7backed Yes14c183.23$25 inLost-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes7c143.7$10 inLost-$10355.7%2 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-70.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes16c86.61$14 inLost-$13.76378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes15c78.66$12 inLost-$12147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-79.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.