Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d0dbd6c272daf5f086dc1084326ccff1c4b82d8918448754144ba73903b6810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Humbert, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zandschulp | 2c | 931$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Humbert | 55c | 834$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.53 | 607 | 53.7%326 W · 281 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Zandschulp | 50c | 716.3$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.3 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Zandschulp | 53c | 565.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Humbert | 47c | 418.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zandschulp | 45c | 311$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Humbert | 50c | 232.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zandschulp | 43c | 209.21$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Zandschulp | 48c | 207.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Zandschulp | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bd53backed Humbert | 50c | 189.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Humbert | 60c | 177.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zandschulp | 46c | 156.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…98aabacked Zandschulp | 36c | 110.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Zandschulp | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…dda4backed Humbert | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Zandschulp | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Humbert | 53c | 56.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…6069backed Humbert | 52c | 41.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Humbert | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Zandschulp | 46c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Humbert | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Humbert | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Humbert | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zandschulp | 48c | 28.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Humbert | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Zandschulp | 49c | 24.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…af0bbacked Humbert | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Humbert | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Humbert | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)this page
- Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Botic van de ZandschulpHumbert won
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs ZandschulpHumbert won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.