Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Columbia Lions vs. New Haven Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f7a2474bcc360943376299ce66f117b4c150308f6fe55588481943cc9d439bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Columbia Lionsof Columbia Lions, New Haven Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63ee…eb2ebacked New Haven Chargers | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…72d1backed New Haven Chargers | 26c | 1,050$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Haven Chargers | 29c | 999$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.74 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcafe…2373backed Columbia Lions | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…eec3backed Columbia Lions | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…6e54backed Columbia Lions | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…5fd3backed Columbia Lions | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed New Haven Chargers | 23c | 215.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked New Haven Chargers | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…2e25backed Columbia Lions | 75c | 149.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed New Haven Chargers | 25c | 99.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New Haven Chargers | 25c | 43.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Columbia Lions | 71c | 21.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Columbia Lions | 71c | 21.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e76…fc6cbacked Columbia Lions | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbia Lions vs. New Haven Chargersthis page
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-5.5)Columbia Lions won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-6.5)Columbia Lions won
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-7.5)Columbia Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.