MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbe3a20a8e1126216a942869a1f6297754af5efa46fa21851732098642e06f3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 12,000$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,179.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 8,679$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 8,497$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 7,407$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.09 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 5,560$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.07 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 4,732$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.63 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 4,451$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.52 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 2,726$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.25 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 2,675$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.06 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 2,608$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.16 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 2,249$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,984$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.39 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 1,970$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,823$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 1,201$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,083$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.64 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 957.88$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.94 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 944.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 884.18$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 641.15$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 588.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 536.53$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 473.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.79 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 463.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 434.61$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.46 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 424.52$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.75 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 377.35$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 374.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 299$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 293.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 278.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 278.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 249$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 248$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 228.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 15c | 193$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 191$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 183.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 173.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 150.01$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…698cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 142.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 140.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 137.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 134.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 133.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 133$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 123.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 115.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 114.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 104.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 91.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…24adbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 77.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 71.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 63.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…eddabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 39.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 38.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…22c9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 25.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 23.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 20.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.