MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088ee1d4091697d658da82669634c9cf5cd37419e151012770f12e95da805f10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 89,390$47,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,042.63 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 29,371$13,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,807.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 18,889$9,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,337.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 10,015$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,611.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 8,276$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 7,927$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 46c | 7,336$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.31 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.25 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 4,627$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.48 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdce…b9dfbacked Under | 40c | 3,414$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 2,662$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.1 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 2,645$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 2,478$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 1,812$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.61 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 55c | 1,103$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.01 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 1,020$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 51c | 1,015$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.22 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 67c | 789.57$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 47c | 760.34$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.9 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 49c | 686.26$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.28 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 39c | 637$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 42c | 516.52$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.58 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 65c | 476.17$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Under | 54c | 388.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 57c | 340.08$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 28c | 255$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 55c | 241.6$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 207.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 33c | 206.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Over | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Over | 58c | 144.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Under | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…6a0fbacked Over | 47c | 110.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 23c | 91.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 45c | 83.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 80.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Under | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 49c | 61.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…f3aabacked Over | 47c | 53.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 48c | 51.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 45c | 51.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 50c | 48.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Over | 53c | 46.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…9cf1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 45c | 42.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 48c | 41.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Over | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 61c | 35.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 52c | 35.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 29.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 61c | 25.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 76c | 24.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 76c | 24.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 47c | 21.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…a49ebacked Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…e0c9backed Over | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.