Asian League · resolved market
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33f56deac3d9bac3ab441592496a6f4b5e6fc61ad023b84ac6bb3a274c8c734
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,193 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 3,587$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.96 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,622$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 37c | 834.66$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 640.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 20c | 485.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 28c | 445.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Yes | 35c | 429.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 418.8$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…df85backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 122.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 38c | 113.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 37c | 95.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 87.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 80.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 38c | 79.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…0256backed Yes | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 61c | 48.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Yes | 39c | 44.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Yes | 37c | 36.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…acaebacked No | 70c | 27.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 59c | 26.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 64c | 20.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 67c | 18.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 76c | 17.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.