South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa680ad851b3bc46c8c84d1f7ba149ea9ca5876332410f266e0c62f6ade65f44f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 12c | 4,779$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.22 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 11c | 2,211$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.01 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 70c | 1,562$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.26 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed No | 29c | 1,504$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 11c | 1,249$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed No | 11c | 1,008$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 10c | 966.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 11c | 884.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 15c | 807.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 25c | 419$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 10c | 390.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 24c | 376.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 316.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 19c | 316.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 13c | 302$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 25c | 301.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked No | 15c | 292.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 18c | 278.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 271.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 75c | 172.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 17c | 146.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 11c | 116.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed No | 14c | 114.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…e5b8backed Yes | 74c | 112.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 11c | 111.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111a…2c97backed No | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 18c | 86.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 79c | 82.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 13c | 82.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 21c | 72.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Yes | 69c | 68.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 75c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 75c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes | 69c | 15.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Yes | 74c | 13.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Blooming win on 2026-05-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.