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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,069 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No62c28,973$17,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,130.9329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed No61c18,301$11,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,137.5219151.3%98 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c7,885$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.783,44651.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L+21.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes40c7,436$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.3237851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No56c6,670$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.241850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes39c5,228$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.0123354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20020046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c4,788$3,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.685,82145.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L+97.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes18c4,765$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.483225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes41c4,415$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.6130841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes39c3,021$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.1216543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes50c2,712$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.171,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c2,645$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.588,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes39c2,050$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.543618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes37c2,027$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes44c1,654$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.692,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes63c1,506$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes40c1,304$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.551533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes37c1,202$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.743138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes38c1,138$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.0949449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x998d…7c1ebacked No62c1,127$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.041050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes38c1,099$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.596944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes40c1,079$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.843751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x797e…fc29backed Yes2c1,064$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes43c1,023$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Yes38c857.89$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes40c821.34$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.7112741.7%53 W · 74 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes44c817.7$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.7910846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes44c668$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9211323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes17c586.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006020%12 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes43c540.44$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.393727%10 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes41c422.78$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.671,67850.8%853 W · 825 L-3.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes39c375$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.251,36249.8%678 W · 684 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…f579backed Yes40c357.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes38c353.19$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.218253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes39c341.37$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.345452.9%240 W · 214 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes39c339.48$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.981,25753.6%674 W · 583 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No63c324.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2510051%51 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes44c311.36$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1374940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No58c310.34$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.342339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes39c266.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.871,44251.9%748 W · 694 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No52c249.93$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9733745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes49c247.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes40c236.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes45c224.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10113833.3%46 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No62c218.47$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0231745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes14c216$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c211.28$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.331,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes40c203.44$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.676842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Yes40c174.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.815052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes37c172$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.641442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No63c165.38$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7856537.5%212 W · 353 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2243…fabebacked Yes43c163.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No54c162.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.966949.3%34 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes21c126.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.74944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3689…e964backed Yes40c125.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes42c124.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.082,64854.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dfd…56a8backed Yes44c124$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Yes43c118.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.839953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes43c104.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd77…d379backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…0332backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No64c98.89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4636339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes45c97.69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3550235.5%178 W · 324 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes42c97.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.13,80738.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L-29.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes36c94.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.628231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d8…7520backed Yes68c88.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No60c81.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.555350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes42c79.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes41c73.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306050%30 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Yes42c70.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.832642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed Yes26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…8afebacked Yes44c69.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes41c69.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.388248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes40c68.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.219759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes39c67.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.711,30553.6%700 W · 605 L+5.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…cb37backed Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes43c62.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9413739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2c…e0a7backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No49c60.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Yes37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.