South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Clube do Remo vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0922a5b33d332f898ad9ac3bd8729bb0158852a1b451a89ce65727f2e69ef21f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,786 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 71c | 2,291$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.34 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 5c | 2,036$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 1,681$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.44 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 663.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 543.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…8434backed Yes | 5c | 475$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 375$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 30c | 339.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 236.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 30c | 229.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 71c | 168.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 27c | 150.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 136$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 30c | 119.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 70c | 102.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 29c | 99.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 93.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 25c | 86.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 75.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 33c | 72.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 69.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 68.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 60.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 22c | 59.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 28c | 57.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 28c | 42.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 31c | 38.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 37.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 35c | 37.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 70c | 35.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 71c | 35.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 69c | 33.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 30.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 73c | 22.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 17.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 80c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Clube do Remo vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?this page
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.