Fifa International · resolved market
Singapore vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b1d4d6eb6474d10aed07b6214889adcc69db2db16d7c54b3dbb14c7ca0313a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 72c | 2,173$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.55 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 249.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 218.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 18c | 195$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 28c | 189$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 59c | 158.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 47c | 123.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 69c | 90.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 28c | 88.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 28c | 88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 29c | 87.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe0…645dbacked Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 57.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under | 28c | 51.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…eefebacked Over | 71c | 49.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 75c | 41.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Under | 27c | 38.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 37.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Over | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Singapore vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5this page
- Singapore vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Singapore vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5Under won
- Singapore vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5Under won
- Singapore vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bangladesh (-1.5)Singapore won
- Spread: Bangladesh (-2.5)Singapore won
- Spread: Singapore (-1.5)Bangladesh won
- Spread: Singapore (-2.5)Bangladesh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.