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Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No50c6,573$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.672,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes52c5,579$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.138050%40 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No49c4,933$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.31825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-61.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes21c4,000$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1703966.7%26 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c3,880$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.4236827.4%101 W · 267 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c3,649$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.462,57945.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L+12.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No49c3,570$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.151349.3%253 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes22c3,178$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.2772050.1%361 W · 359 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No12c2,567$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-56.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No30c2,500$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.211451.8%59 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No79c2,443$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.976867.6%46 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No29c2,323$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.678361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes59c2,013$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes48c1,786$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.361050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No6c1,548$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-66%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c1,354$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.7838039.7%151 W · 229 L+1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Yes17c1,045$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+111.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7904100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+157%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No80c994.12$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.3850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Yes71c974.85$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes54c942.4$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.64887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+53%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No51c907.84$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4633354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes72c759.49$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.061942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed No50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No49c707.24$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.094841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes16c604.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes22c585$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.37856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No52c556.55$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.261546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No53c542.12$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.287356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes17c500.01$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.011650%8 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+25.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked Yes21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3953100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+176.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes51c453.19$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.2332939.5%130 W · 199 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No49c415$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2847442.8%203 W · 271 L-1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No46c413.74$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.553135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes74c408.82$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7241841.1%172 W · 246 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes56c407.62$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yes21c400$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No19c399.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.47447.3%35 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes59c379.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412066.7%80 W · 40 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No54c369.46$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.911127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-54.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes55c324.75$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.451435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes60c312.03$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+95.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…d8cebacked Yes19c300$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes20c278.02$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.2741253.2%219 W · 193 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes22c277.31$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.344654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes28c275.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.456523.1%15 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No52c271.12$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5724846.4%115 W · 133 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Yes46c271$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.03425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes22c264.05$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9611636.2%42 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes62c260.73$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.161566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed No78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+94.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No30c227.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.511353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed No53c226.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked No7c223.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes19c222.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1534852.9%184 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa4…f5b4backed Yes20c222.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes24c205.77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.072391.3%21 W · 2 L+9.3wins+0.40per pick51cpaid+99.7%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes26c194.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.871250%6 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No77c191.56$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.119849.5%98 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No46c186.77$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.258264.6%53 W · 29 L+10.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes26c185.1$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.114553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60bd…2469backed Yes8c183$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.92per pick8cpaid+1,129.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No29c176.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.616136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No14c173.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes47c168.65$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No45c162.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0414846.6%69 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes62c145.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.28248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6a…db02backed No61c145.79$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes12c142.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+118.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9299…8f9cbacked Yes18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes57c131.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.32138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed No28c130$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Yes23c126.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes57c121.07$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.772339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No48c115.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8710347.6%49 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes57c110.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5320951.7%108 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0270…5a30backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes22c98.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+102.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked No30c89.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.881050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa28e…74a4backed Yes17c88.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked Yes22c87.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f8…aa04backed No35c86.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461d…5599backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes47c80.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.853246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No47c79.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.634853.7%187 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No77c79.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.643938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No48c78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4410061%61 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes26c77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No54c72.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No56c66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.185657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No56c64.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.061040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Yes39c64.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+255.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No78c64.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No39c62.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.255038.9%214 W · 336 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes21c61.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.933161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+38.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes35c60.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.325367.9%36 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.