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Serie A · resolved market

Will Venezia FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b47…d814backed No70c35,409$24,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,749.3311451.8%59 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ba…da22backed Yes35c28,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c19,232$13,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,004.4438039.7%151 W · 229 L+1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes14c16,054$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.052,57945.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L+12.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No65c10,770$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.426368.3%43 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-58.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes31c8,997$2,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.442,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No65c7,889$5,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.2331352.1%163 W · 150 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c7,466$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.9172050.1%361 W · 359 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No66c3,500$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.2636827.4%101 W · 267 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes38c3,465$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.7251349.3%253 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes33c2,727$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa457…a061backed No70c2,588$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.893100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No67c1,919$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No72c1,205$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.591050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes28c1,202$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2914846.6%69 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008624.4%21 W · 65 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No66c902.1$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1724846.4%115 W · 133 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes27c778.24$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2341841.1%172 W · 246 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No76c765.28$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.273250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes29c713.02$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7734852.9%184 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes30c667.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18616232.1%52 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18025339.5%100 W · 153 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No55c578.62$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.743941%16 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c561.88$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8823839.1%93 W · 145 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No59c465.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.061566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No72c402.62$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.634634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes35c400.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+85.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No72c360.71$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1017856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No66c343.69$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.411127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-54.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No68c304.53$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.918248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes21c279.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8155038.9%214 W · 336 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes36c249.13$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.924841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No58c232.76$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2532939.5%130 W · 199 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No70c227.6$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.394858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1705…28f5backed Yes14c215.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No65c215.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.381546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes30c213.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658843.2%38 W · 50 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes34c208.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.647442.8%203 W · 271 L-1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182f…de4fbacked No71c190.44$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.233100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes33c168.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.667356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes43c163.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.768046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No67c154.13$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5632959%194 W · 135 L+28.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c153.45$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6844654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No54c110.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.62560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.69255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No66c104.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2220951.7%108 W · 101 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes55c93.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.291172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked No70c91.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Yes31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No57c88.57$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9710347.6%49 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No69c86.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.763473.5%25 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No66c85.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0321250%106 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes33c83.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.419758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No56c81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.624246.3%112 W · 130 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9785…2c5abacked Yes36c80$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No67c77.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.223135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Yes25c74.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6581…eb88backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes32c73.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71fe…d3ccbacked No71c70.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No69c69.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.895367.9%36 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9207…d26ebacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes33c50.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.516451.8%85 W · 79 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec0…e736backed Yes29c48.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa28e…74a4backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed No69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes30c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.667553.8%363 W · 312 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Yes29c42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.36425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No71c39.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.351090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No76c35.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.711040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes34c35.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…487abacked Yes31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No67c32.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6723743.5%103 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes36c30.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-76%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No62c26.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.365657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d4f…000ebacked No65c21.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.37560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c15.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5243955.4%243 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.