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La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$640,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$745,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes61c47,463$28,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,484.741,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed No70c40,000$27,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,9001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b08…02abbacked Yes31c40,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,599.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick43cpaid+115.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes55c19,805$10,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,819.0611041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No44c17,778$7,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,762.2111355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3672…0a5fbacked No70c16,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,200450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No7c15,666$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.8216732.9%55 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ad8…075abacked Yes59c15,000$8,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee0…6bb2backed Yes61c14,797$9,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes76c14,508$11,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.6124259.5%144 W · 98 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed No11c12,166$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.5110443.3%45 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes30c12,049$3,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,434.5110339.8%41 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No69c12,000$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,279.9824547.3%116 W · 129 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes32c11,500$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8208949.4%44 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Yes62c11,303$7,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.377216.7%12 W · 60 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No3c9,491$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.52850%4 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+83.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed No45c8,602$3,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.691369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+68.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68a4…856ebacked No17c8,368$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c8,000$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4401,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No69c7,200$4,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9689358.1%54 W · 39 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes80c6,746$5,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3773030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Yes56c5,567$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.41566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No44c5,331$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.5167839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No3c5,222$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0164732.3%209 W · 438 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009168.1%62 W · 29 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No41c4,092$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.2392443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No39c3,828$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.617561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No45c3,305$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.6110263.7%65 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No2c3,272$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.711637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No31c3,014$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.3548338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.981,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Yes68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.181485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No12c2,761$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.171717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe16e…12e2backed No16c2,188$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No69c2,170$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.617861.5%48 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No23c2,077$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7817039.4%67 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed No2c2,035$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6580%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No33c1,961$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.713644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No14c1,858$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.124445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes75c1,744$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.2914353.8%77 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No14c1,633$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes31c1,605$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.713557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No37c1,600$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.8751048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Yes60c1,531$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+67.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c1,420$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.034517.8%8 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-74.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa9…a486backed No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No5c1,400$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.37616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-79.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed No29c1,381$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.748262.2%51 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No69c1,312$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes47c1,274$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.633756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c1,272$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.582,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c1,250$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.2574949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c1,207$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.4780950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No41c1,191$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.921,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed Yes68c1,158$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee6…a1efbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+424.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa901…e637backed Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+151.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No46c1,110$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.642759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+47.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No35c1,102$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.258046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed No37c1,098$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed No47c1,071$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.692250%11 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Yes67c1,044$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.775151%26 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No23c1,026$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.141566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020225.2%51 W · 151 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305016%8 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97de…27d1backed Yes63c992.42$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+72.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed No15c935.35$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…5782backed Yes27c925.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.923100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+353.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8d…b168backed Yes27c925.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.92475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick24cpaid+240.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No69c888$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.723336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No24c862$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.624663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes63c843.72$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.682748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No11c804.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.434250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No24c753.47$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.821650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked No34c750$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf52f…dc59backed Yes27c740.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick21cpaid+301.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Yes59c739.35$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.913432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked No71c732.39$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Yes55c728.98$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x826a…89eebacked Yes68c724.94$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29d…0d26backed Yes31c710$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No40c702.5$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb8…ae4abacked No16c657.42$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+227.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes68c641.2$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.254854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5768…ba7abacked Yes77c607.85$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No26c597.65$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.66445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c570.46$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1672455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No55c545.97$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.114951%25 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed No12c545.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked No38c535.59$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012516%4 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked No11c527.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No5c526.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.322317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed No11c518.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes38c507.84$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0838144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed No11c504.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x876f…bbb9backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.