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La Liga · resolved market

Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$423,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$419,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe0ac…de2abacked Yes29c245,937$70,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,261.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-60.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No71c84,371$59,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,467.483522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes31c48,313$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No72c39,782$28,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,139.0314646.6%68 W · 78 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c30,165$22,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,978.763,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c29,736$21,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,637.2367839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No71c23,486$16,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,729.0711041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed No72c21,590$15,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,045.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No72c17,091$12,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,785.482454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf1…370abacked Yes8c16,292$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Yes41c15,111$6,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,194.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c15,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20024547.3%116 W · 129 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No72c11,197$8,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.156051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed No59c11,054$6,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,506.7910443.3%45 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c8,203$5,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.81,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No75c7,976$5,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.124259.5%144 W · 98 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes29c6,615$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes25c4,006$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.2114267.6%96 W · 46 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c3,753$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.361,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes25c3,480$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.921250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No71c3,298$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.7592443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes22c3,229$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.7736434.9%127 W · 237 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No78c3,081$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.6348338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes20c3,079$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.879168.1%62 W · 29 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c2,771$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.221,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No72c2,364$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.9819847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c2,178$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.8472455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes70c2,141$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007861.5%48 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes72c2,077$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes74c2,031$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010263.7%65 W · 37 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No75c1,900$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.4151048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No72c1,828$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.773455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes7c1,752$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.241,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No78c1,686$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9711355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes26c1,551$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.371070%7 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.40per pick30cpaid+107.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No72c1,375$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.257153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No80c1,369$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.824445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes73c1,362$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008262.2%51 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-79.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No74c1,164$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.682748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b1b…7217backed Yes29c1,155$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb18…9897backed No26c1,154$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+394.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa901…e637backed No26c1,154$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+151.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29052152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…5782backed No26c961.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.533100%3 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+353.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8d…b168backed No26c961.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.53475%3 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick24cpaid+240.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe16e…12e2backed No26c961.52$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.53425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No72c704.23$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.18580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…deabbacked No26c703.51$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+241.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No36c660.99$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.043756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No73c575.5$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.384060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes30c565.19$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5638129.1%111 W · 270 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed No73c560$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06a…101dbacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c496.64$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8656538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes21c476.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…7249backed Yes28c453.57$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+49.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No62c441.21$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0124540%98 W · 147 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes73c438.2$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32026372.2%190 W · 73 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No80c436.13$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No74c427.55$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.061650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked No73c420.75$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.033432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes29c420$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29d…0d26backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No72c394.64$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.454951%25 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes28c389.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked No28c358.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+166%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No72c347.26$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.443644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f4…6e5dbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes29c334.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025026.8%67 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes30c316.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952516%4 W · 21 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-46.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No62c309.52$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.176950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c305.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2761048%293 W · 317 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…4148backed Yes25c303.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+64%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No73c288.15$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.372653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c285.59$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1117451.7%90 W · 84 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes5c284$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.222842.5%97 W · 131 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes24c284$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8638144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4545…475abacked No73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed No80c251$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.22638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked Yes28c232.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.274323.3%10 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-61.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No76c226.74$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4611845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Yes25c224$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes8c208$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4516732.9%55 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes27c200.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.899038.9%35 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No73c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x242f…6fa9backed No73c190.3$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x599d…c492backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.