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La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde31…df79backed No57c94,004$53,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,169.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes44c56,818$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed Yes43c40,000$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Yes1c34,380$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.23432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No57c22,688$12,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,815.681,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No80c17,250$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Yes43c15,518$6,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,672.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c14,581$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.343,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Yes42c13,406$5,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,630.72326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes43c11,500$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9458949.4%44 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes19c10,634$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.8367839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes19c9,225$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.1692443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes13c8,796$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.4211041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No59c6,780$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.664100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No56c5,632$3,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.216051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Yes43c5,510$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3521369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+68.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes42c5,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.973542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes5c4,966$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6264732.3%209 W · 438 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No57c4,600$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.999428.7%27 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76012053.3%64 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes5c3,982$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.191717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c3,919$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.721,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No56c3,136$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.846159%36 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes2c3,089$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.674351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes4c3,081$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.062429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes17c3,021$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8948338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No57c3,014$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.9311656%65 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020225.2%51 W · 151 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes39c2,810$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0902516%4 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c2,739$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8325026.8%67 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes15c2,623$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.221,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12522842.5%97 W · 131 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No57c2,164$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.2819847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No57c2,121$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.949729.9%29 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No57c2,002$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.7572455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8802347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.991,10448.5%535 W · 569 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c1,954$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.41,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c1,871$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.8256538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c1,819$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9151048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98fc…a4a2backed No58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9817…5ff2backed Yes41c1,455$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes42c1,378$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0974949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes5c1,345$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.262748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52828447.2%134 W · 150 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52810958.7%64 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No56c1,168$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.783930.8%12 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Yes42c1,167$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.142665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes10c1,106$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.710443.3%45 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes44c1,096$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.264052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007041.4%29 W · 41 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes42c938.29$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.323259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes43c895.51$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.0724639%96 W · 150 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No56c862.23$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.382853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0722644.7%101 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.40per pick30cpaid+107.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes21c827.48$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7932635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3527759.7%46 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35210154.5%55 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes19c789.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505234.6%18 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes4c778.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1516732.9%55 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes41c699.99$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2871957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…5921backed Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x475f…82d7backed Yes42c684.8$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2643348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019429.9%58 W · 136 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b31…3e10backed No58c568.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes42c511.19$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.71030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5c…0bdebacked Yes40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No58c489.45$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.574141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes8c486.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.211650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015862%98 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e1…85fbbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes12c449.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes7c440.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326225.8%16 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17613662.5%85 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202528%7 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17612566.4%83 W · 42 L+13.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17613357.9%77 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17610658.5%62 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c390.61$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.872,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c352.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.936434.9%127 W · 237 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed No79c343.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.245151%26 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes10c342$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.24351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes16c336$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0660%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd50b…d9a9backed Yes43c335.16$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No56c312$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.285560%33 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes43c302$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8620942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.