Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20f8654f7e554a3aea113e45b16084d5eec761cc025a6aa3eaa85b2f7dacfc58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 72c | 7,880$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.54 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 50c | 7,500$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,774.94 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 7,124$4,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,041.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 6,845$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.92 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 8c | 2,611$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 48c | 1,824$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.09 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…2957backed No | 55c | 1,113$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 831.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.43 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 649.33$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.88 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed Yes | 28c | 640.24$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 631.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.59 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 32c | 536.83$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.13 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 45c | 444.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 415.83$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.04 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 359.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.74 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 205.25$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Yes | 20c | 176.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 173$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 173$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 53c | 150.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 26c | 132.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 28c | 115$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 100.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 85.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 49c | 80.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 72.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 56c | 69.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 21c | 66.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 44c | 60.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 59.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 54.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 29c | 51.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 49.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 52c | 48.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Yes | 27c | 44.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 40c | 40.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…782abacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 66c | 39.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 44c | 30.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 50c | 28.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 49c | 26.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed No | 75c | 22.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 50c | 22.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Yes | 46c | 21.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 74c | 19.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 16.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 65c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.