La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x821120a7aa2840d5d02cd3ffd0776dc780c6a3b113547072b47b3723d3967151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,606 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 79c | 1,204$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.66 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 840.84$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.28 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 49c | 770.65$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.23 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 36c | 518.43$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 38c | 515.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 485.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 416.94$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 20c | 416$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 357.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.47 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 325$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 270.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 58c | 241.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Yes | 42c | 230.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 230.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked Yes | 19c | 158.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 18c | 133.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 15c | 126.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 33c | 92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 89.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 41c | 81.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 40c | 71.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 37c | 64.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 57c | 62.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…7f67backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 55.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 58c | 51.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 42c | 46.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 40.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 40c | 37.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 43c | 27.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…4867backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 59c | 18.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5946backed No | 75c | 13.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will FC Andorra vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.