La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dbbf1bac8542a252a9bdc5cf6eb26294d0e100b039ced78ec14e59a0241096d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,087 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 29c | 3,103$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.95 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 2,925$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.47 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,793$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.89 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 15c | 1,200$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.75 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 17c | 501.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.24 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 39c | 499.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 70c | 435.35$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.27 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 29c | 326.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 75c | 265.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 46c | 163.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 30c | 155$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 30c | 133$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 25c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 102.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 71c | 86.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 27c | 81.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 30c | 71.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 30.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 77c | 27.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 72c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…5260backed Yes | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked No | 70c | 16.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.