La Liga · resolved market
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd064916b17b378b3964697f7471f0b93473dd799bf02556e3b22c6178735e26d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,508 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 3,621$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.84 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,339$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.96 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 1,196$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.26 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 8c | 512.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 27c | 367.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 310.87$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 67c | 148.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 120.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 100.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 22c | 95.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 67c | 94.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 67c | 73.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…1100backed Yes | 33c | 53.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 69c | 52.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 51.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…e8d5backed Yes | 28c | 50.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 67c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked No | 70c | 17.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.