La Liga · resolved market
Will AD Ceuta FC vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5867bc68f3524150d7a89f38adbc8a8d4c9929aee1042abfecfd677c5fdf7c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,580 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 1,426$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 70c | 785.54$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.66 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 370$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 64c | 354$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 323.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 275.96$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 267.83$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 31c | 253.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 31c | 220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 32c | 173.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 18c | 152.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…617cbacked Yes | 32c | 150.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 13c | 148.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 30c | 122$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 14c | 121.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 111.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 22c | 86.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +9.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed No | 69c | 84.22$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…722bbacked No | 70c | 66.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 72c | 64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 31c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 37c | 58.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 54.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…1100backed Yes | 31c | 53.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 75c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 29c | 42.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 29c | 39.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 36.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 35.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 64c | 28.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…eea2backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 18.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 70c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked No | 71c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.