La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e50bbd60eb80c76b08de8993cf8064a16ec0949a4df303d879ff28b80bde27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,831 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 80c | 4,218$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.01 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,309$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.08 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 1,554$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.61 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 1,116$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.96 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 20c | 700$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 635.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.72 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 13c | 599.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 49c | 568.06$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.04 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 72c | 551.71$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 505.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 57c | 225.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 38c | 206.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…b02fbacked No | 26c | 142.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 21c | 108.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 71.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 21c | 56.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 68c | 51.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked No | 26c | 49.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…c414backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 40c | 32.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…921dbacked No | 46c | 30.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b57…c0eabacked Yes | 71c | 26.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked No | 57c | 19.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…e75fbacked Yes | 73c | 18.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Granada CF end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.