CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: regain vs F5 Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf307914384510c40ad6c3fe5998ebf4631187ae7985f2b8a7805721cccf2a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- regainof regain, F5 Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,952 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed F5 Esports | 0c | 3,686$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked regain | 60c | 1,895$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed regain | 79c | 688.4$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.56 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed regain | 60c | 644.65$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked F5 Esports | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed F5 Esports | 20c | 392.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed F5 Esports | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed F5 Esports | 44c | 275.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…e5d1backed F5 Esports | 21c | 269.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed F5 Esports | 42c | 268.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed F5 Esports | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed F5 Esports | 40c | 229$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked regain | 57c | 221.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed F5 Esports | 15c | 208.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed F5 Esports | 35c | 207.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…3184backed F5 Esports | 6c | 192$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed F5 Esports | 40c | 187.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked F5 Esports | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed F5 Esports | 44c | 137.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…963dbacked F5 Esports | 27c | 133.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked F5 Esports | 41c | 116.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked F5 Esports | 10c | 108.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked regain | 70c | 107.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed regain | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked F5 Esports | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked F5 Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed F5 Esports | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed F5 Esports | 28c | 96.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…23d6backed regain | 79c | 95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked F5 Esports | 21c | 93.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed F5 Esports | 44c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…638dbacked regain | 62c | 80.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…9f9dbacked F5 Esports | 44c | 78.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked regain | 68c | 59.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed F5 Esports | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed F5 Esports | 42c | 52.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked F5 Esports | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked F5 Esports | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…b4c2backed regain | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked F5 Esports | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked F5 Esports | 41c | 46.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed F5 Esports | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed F5 Esports | 39c | 40.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked F5 Esports | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed F5 Esports | 35c | 39.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked F5 Esports | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed F5 Esports | 41c | 33.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked regain | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed F5 Esports | 39c | 32.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked F5 Esports | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked regain | 56c | 18.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: regain vs F5 Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: regain vs F5 Esports - Map 1 Winnerregain won
- Counter-Strike: regain vs F5 Esports - Map 2 Winnerregain won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.