CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38f06f5616530e7d50eb55229a64d934dc8ce968ef8b0f026c9d6b58ec5c4857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Sangal | 65c | 3,100$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.98 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sangal | 65c | 2,390$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.09 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 33c | 1,282$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.87 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Omega | 12c | 1,056$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Omega | 35c | 859$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.42 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Omega | 35c | 764.57$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Omega | 35c | 563.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Omega | 32c | 544.34$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 35c | 537.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 28c | 502.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangal | 67c | 490.75$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Sangal | 67c | 445.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Omega | 34c | 434.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Omega | 35c | 430$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sangal | 73c | 384.62$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked Omega | 36c | 357.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Omega | 34c | 357$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Sangal | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Omega | 9c | 338.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Omega | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d1…ba29backed Omega | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Omega | 32c | 245$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Sangal | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Omega | 34c | 235.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Omega | 35c | 229.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Omega | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sangal | 66c | 216.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…1b4fbacked Sangal | 65c | 175$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sangal | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Omega | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Omega | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Omega | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Omega | 32c | 149.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Omega | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Omega | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Omega | 32c | 136$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Omega | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Omega | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Sangal | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Omega | 36c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Omega | 37c | 103.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Sangal | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Sangal | 66c | 92.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked Omega | 35c | 85.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sangal | 66c | 82.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Sangal | 68c | 73.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Sangal | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sangal | 65c | 64.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Omega | 34c | 58.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Omega | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Omega | 35c | 49.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Omega | 35c | 38.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…5456backed Omega | 34c | 34.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sangal | 64c | 33.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Omega | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Sangal | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Sangal | 68c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sangal | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314d…c936backed Omega | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sangal | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Sangal | 66c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sangal | 65c | 22.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…6570backed Sangal | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Sangal | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerSangal won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerSangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.