CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8ec2e9d81c12af0aacba43f1e4c432d9a103c582a99cf5a688a6c43d86928c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,636 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…520abacked Sangal | 66c | 1,439$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 27c | 1,421$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.33 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 36c | 833.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Omega | 25c | 697.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed Omega | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…2213backed Sangal | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 16c | 443$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Omega | 22c | 316.68$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…1b4fbacked Sangal | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sangal | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Omega | 33c | 101.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Omega | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Omega | 33c | 44.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Omega | 38c | 39.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Omega | 34c | 37.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Omega | 34c | 35.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sangal | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sangal | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsSangal won
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerSangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.